
- Most reports and indicators suggest the real estate market is cooling
- Some are bucking the trend and the latest top 20 list includes 15 house and five unit markets across 12 metro locations and eight regional locations
- Nine suburbs are in Western Australia, six in New South Wales, four in Queensland, and one in Victoria
As the market begins to cool and buying property seems less of a Sysiphian task, which suburbs are bucking the market slowing trends?
So far this year, we’ve heard from Well Money about which suburbs to invest in, along with reports from BuyersBuyers and ME Bank reports, with the various metrics all throwing up a cornucopia of different suburbs to keep an eye on.
Earlier in the year, top 20 suburbs to start a family tended to sit a little further away from the CBD, with a comparison to last year’s figures here.
Last year, the suburbs poised for growth included a mix of houses and units around the country.
Top 10 suburbs poised for price growth
Rank | State/Territory | Suburb | Postcode | Type | Price |
1 | NT | Mount Johns | 0874 | House | $680,000 |
2 | NSW | Oxley Park | 2670 | Unit | $559,000 |
3 | QLD | Rainbow Beach | 4581 | Unit | $299,000 |
4 | NSW | Elermore Vale | 2287 | Unit | $494,390 |
5 | SA | Glenelg | 5045 | Unit | $485,000 |
6 | SA | Hackham | 5163 | House | $370,800 |
7 | WA | Rockingham | 6168 | Unit | $318,000 |
8 | WA | Madeley | 6065 | House | $581,400 |
9 | SA | North Haven | 5018 | House | $555,000 |
10 | QLD | Wynnum | 4178 | Unit | $534,600 |
Source: Well Money.
In May this year, suburbs set for price growth changed substantially, with more details here.
Top 20 Australian suburbs where prices are set to grow
Rank | State | Suburb | Postcode | Type | Median asking price |
1 | VIC | Campbells Creek | 3451 | House | $659,000 |
2 | QLD | Corinda | 4075 | House | $1,208,340 |
3 | NSW | Albion Park Rail | 2527 | House | $772,500 |
4 | NSW | Tuncurry | 2428 | House | $705,000 |
5 | NSW | Lithgow | 2790 | House | $429,000 |
6 | NSW | Albion Park | 2527 | House | $821,600 |
7 | NSW | Smithfield | 2164 | Unit | $691,200 |
8 | SA | Greenwith | 5125 | House | $545,000 |
9 | NSW | Rylstone | 2849 | House | $480,000 |
10 | TAS | Gagebrook | 7030 | House | $320,000 |
11 | WA | Chidlow | 6556 | House | $649,000 |
12 | NSW | Calderwood | 2527 | House | $949,000 |
13 | QLD | Enoggera | 4051 | House | $1,025,000 |
14 | SA | Glenunga | 5064 | House | $1,400,000 |
15 | VIC | Cranbourne North | 3977 | Unit | $490,000 |
16 | NSW | Wangi Wangi | 2267 | House | $897,600 |
17 | SA | Golden Grove | 5125 | House | $575,000 |
18 | ACT | Banks | 2906 | House | $779,100 |
19 | NSW | Woodrising | 2284 | House | $663,000 |
20 | VIC | Cranbourne East | 3977 | Unit | $504,720 |
Source: Well Money.
The latest
The Property Tribune reported earlier this year that the Australian property boom appears to be cooling off.
Coming with the territory, negotiations have also been more difficult, with The Property Tribune also reporting that negotiations have become increasingly difficult as sellers continued to expect inflated prices despite prices having already peaked.
But of course, there is always an exception.
The research commissioned Well Money looks quarterly into the top 20 suburbs in Australia that are showing the clearest signs that strong price growth is just around the corner.
The 20 suburbs chosen always show the strongest combination of inventory levels decreasing over the past three months, days on market decreasing over the past three months and asking prices increasing over the past three months.
The latest top 20 list includes 15 house and five unit markets across 12 metro locations and eight regional locations. Nine suburbs are in Western Australia, six in New South Wales, four in Queensland, and one in Victoria.
“In every one of these suburbs, inventory levels and days on market have fallen over the past three months, which means conditions have moved in favour of sellers,” said Well Money CEO Scott Spencer.
“As a result, vendors have increased asking prices in all but two of the suburbs, despite the fact the market is cooling in many parts of the country.
“That shows you that Australia is not one big housing market. There are actually hundreds of different markets spread around the eight states and territories.
“Last year, most of them were experiencing price increases; now, many of them are experiencing price reductions. However, the suburbs in this report look set to grow in coming months. That’s because demand is currently higher than supply, which means buyers are being forced to compete hard. That sort of competitive tension is likely to generate increases in selling prices.”
Mr Spencer also noted the report used leading indicators to look ahead.
“When inventory levels are falling in a location, that’s a clear sign the pendulum is moving in the direction of vendors, because stock levels are declining,” he said.
“When days on market are falling, it suggests demand is increasing relative to supply.
“When inventory levels and days on market are both falling, it’s a clear sign that market forces are moving in favour of vendors – and the bigger the fall, the more likely that is to be true.
“In that situation, vendors are likely to respond by raising their asking prices. That, in turn, is likely to lead to higher selling prices.
“That’s why inventory levels and days on market, and to a lesser extent asking prices, are such good leading indicators.”
Top 20 suburbs defying the cooling property market
Rank | State | Suburb | Postcode | Type | Median asking price |
1 | NSW | Seven Hills | 2147 | Unit | $640,000 |
2 | WA | Scarborough | 6019 | House | $859,000 |
3 | QLD | Park Ridge | 4125 | House | $516,900 |
4 | WA | Tuart Hill | 6060 | House | $679,000 |
5 | NSW | Gosford | 2250 | Unit | $575,000 |
6 | NSW | Bermagui | 2546 | House | $929,200 |
7 | NSW | Carlingford | 2118 | Unit | $708,000 |
8 | QLD | Buddina | 4575 | Unit | $745,000 |
9 | VIC | Point Cook | 3030 | Unit | $550,000 |
10 | WA | Balcatta | 6021 | House | $660,950 |
11 | WA | Darling Downs | 6122 | House | $787,990 |
12 | QLD | Placid Hills | 4343 | House | $600,000 |
13 | WA | Margaret River | 6285 | House | $590,000 |
14 | NSW | Yass | 2582 | House | $761,540 |
15 | NSW | Googong | 2620 | House | $1,000,000 |
16 | WA | Cannington | 6107 | House | $454,258 |
17 | QLD | Labrador | 4215 | House | $645,201 |
18 | WA | Innaloo | 6018 | House | $640,000 |
19 | WA | Westminster | 6061 | House | $412,000 |
20 | WA | Rivervale | 6103 | House | $635,700 |
The details
Seven Hills
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 7.6 months | 1.9 months | -74.8% |
Days on market | 51 days | 46 days | -9.8% |
Median asking price | $635,000 | $640,000 | 0.8% |
Scarborough
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 7.1 months | 2.0 months | -72.3% |
Days on market | 48 days | 47 days | -2.1% |
Median asking price | $808,000 | $859,000 | 6.3% |
Park Ridge
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 6.2 months | 1.7 months | -72.1% |
Days on market | 44 days | 34 days | -22.7% |
Median asking price | $487,991 | $516,900 | 5.9% |
Tuart Hill
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 6.6 months | 2.4 months | -63.8% |
Days on market | 41 days | 38 days | -7.3% |
Median asking price | $693,600 | $679,000 | -2.1% |
Gosford
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 7.2 months | 3.0 months | -57.7% |
Days on market | 29 days | 28 days | -3.4% |
Median asking price | $560,000 | $575,000 | 2.7% |
Bermagui
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 7.3 months | 3.2 months | -56.2% |
Days on market | 48 days | 39 days | -18.8% |
Median asking price | $906,000 | $929,200 | 2.6% |
Carlingford
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 8.2 months | 4.3 months | -48.4% |
Days on market | 30 days | 29 days | -3.3% |
Median asking price | $732,250 | $708,000 | -3.3% |
Buddina
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 4.9 months | Under 1 month | N/A |
Days on market | 41 days | 38 days | -7.3% |
Median asking price | $690,000 | $745,000 | 8.0% |
Point Cook
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 4.4 months | Under 1 month | N/A |
Days on market | 45 days | 41 days | -8.9% |
Median asking price | $540,000 | $550,000 | 1.9% |
Balcatta
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 5.5 months | 1.6 months | -70.1% |
Days on market | 49 days | 47 days | -4.1% |
Median asking price | $626,200 | $660,950 | 5.5% |
Darling Downs
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 4.7 months | 1.0 months | -77.7% |
Days on market | 41 days | 38 days | -7.3% |
Median asking price | $768,500 | $787,990 | 2.5% |
Placid Hills
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 6.0 months | 2.4 months | -60.0% |
Days on market | 51 days | 41 days | -19.6% |
Median asking price | $599,000 | $600,000 | 0.2% |
Margaret River
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 3.9 months | Under 1 month | N/A |
Days on market | 72 days | 66 days | -8.3% |
Median asking price | $580,000 | $590,000 | 1.7% |
Yass
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 5.4 months | 1.8 months | -67.1% |
Days on market | 37 days | 36 days | -2.7% |
Median asking price | $690,000 | $761,540 | 10.4% |
Googong
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 5.0 months | 1.5 months | -69.6% |
Days on market | 34 days | 29 days | -14.7% |
Median asking price | $963,050 | $1,000,000 | 3.8% |
Cannington
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change |
Inventory level | 8.2 months | 4.7 months | -42.1% |
Days on market | 64 days | 59 days | -7.8% |
Median asking price | $450,598 | $454,258 | 0.8% |
Labrador
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change | |
Inventory level | 5.6 months | 2.2 months | -61.1% | |
Days on market | 42 days | 41 days | -2.4% | |
Median asking price | $590,000 | $645,201 | 9.4% |
Innaloo
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change | |
Inventory level | 5.8 months | 2.4 months | -58.9% | |
Days on market | 54 days | 49 days | -9.3% | |
Median asking price | $605,000 | $640,000 | 5.8% |
Westminster
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change | |
Inventory level | 5.9 months | 2.6 months | -56.9% | |
Days on market | 48 days | 47 days | -2.1% | |
Median asking price | $405,414 | $412,000 | 1.6% |
Rivervale
Indicator | April 2022 | July 2022 | Change | |
Inventory level | 7.6 months | 4.3 months | -44.0% | |
Days on market | 48 days | 44 days | -8.3% | |
Median asking price | $600,000 | $635,700 | 6.0% |
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